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  • meridiani.planum
    10-07 05:28 PM
    I have built a very simple EB2-I Visa predition model

    Making following assumption

    15000 new EB2 ROW I-485 applications
    12000 new EB1 I-485 applications
    EB4/EB5 use 70% of allocated visa (30% spillover)


    EB2 Visa Bulletin prediction for FY 2010
    Bulletin Quarterly-spillover Annual Spillover
    Oct-09 22-Jan-2005 22-Jan-2005
    Nov-09 22-Jan-2005 22-Jan-2005
    Dec-09 31-Mar-2005 1-Feb-2005
    Jan-10 31-Mar-2005 15-Feb-2005
    Feb-10 31-Mar-2005 31-Mar-2005
    Mar-10 31-Mar-2006 31-Mar-2005
    Apr-10 31-Mar-2006 31-Mar-2005
    May-10 31-Mar-2006 31-Mar-2005
    Jun-10 15-Oct-2006 31-Mar-2005
    Jul-10 15-Oct-2006 30-Sep-2005
    Aug-10 15-Oct-2006 30-Apr-2007
    Sep-10 31-Mar-2007 30-May-2007


    3rd Q spillover numbers are too optimistic. 2006 alone has ~20k pending EB2I. you are assuming whole of that, plus 1 quarter eachfrom 05 and 07?





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  • Kodi
    05-17 05:05 PM
    According to the latest news from Sri Lanka:

    1) All the Tamil civilians that were held hostage as human shields by the LTTE, have been rescued by the Sri Lankan army and have crossed over to safety.
    2) The LTTE have conceded defeat and said it is ready to surrender to a 3rd party.
    3)The whereabouts of Prabhakaran is not yet known but there is lots of rumors in the net saying that his body has been found and it is being investigated for DNA proof.
    4) The Sri Lankan army is still engaged in clearing out small pockets of LTTE that still remains.
    5) The whole island is celebrating with dancing in the streets, fire crackers and distributing Kiri-Bath (Milk Rice) which is cooked for very important occasions. And I wish I was there too !!!! :)

    So as you see it is all good!!!

    Same here. I wish I was there to join the celebrations.





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  • From Los Alamos.



  • dupedinjuly
    07-04 01:21 AM
    IV release.:Please send it to other media offices and free press release distribution services
    http://www.prlog.org/10022648-no-celebration-for-thousands-of-highly-skilled-future-americans-this-july-4th.html

    I have joined immigrationvoice today. I did contact all the major newspapers in Utah. I was called back by DeseretNews. I was called back and gave almost and hour of interview (more than one call). The story publication in Deseretnews is imminent on July 4 or 5.

    Hi,

    The Dept of State and Dept of Homeland Security(USCIS) acted against the interests of immigrants trying to immigrate legally. Legal immigration is the real issue. If it works, there
    will not be a need to grant amnesty to millons of illegal alilens. The real solution to stop
    illegal immigration is to make legal immigration work. Unfortunately, the government is going
    in the opposite direction as evident by the actions of DOS and DOHS on July 2, 2007.
    I would be happy if you would be kind enough to publish this story and bring the issue
    of legal immigration to light. After all, thats what everybody wants, immigration to be
    orderly and legal, but is it workable ? and why people trying to follow the law feel
    cheated and duped by the government, after waiting patiently for years and abiding to
    the laws.

    Regards,

    No Celebration For Thousands of Highly-Skilled Future Americans this July 4th
    http://www.prlog.org/10022648-no-celebration-for-thousands-of-highly-skilled-future-americans-this-july-4th.html

    Administration Slams Door on Thousands of Legal Immigrants: AILA Condemns Agencies Bait and Switch
    http://www.aila.org/content/default.aspx?docid=22804

    Legal workers lose chance at green cards - Associated Press
    http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/stories/I/IMMIGRATION_GREEN_CARDS?SITE=CAANR&SECTION=HOME&TEMPLATE=DEFAULT

    Further References:
    www.immigrationvoice.org
    www.aila.org
    www.shusterman.com
    www.murthy.com
    www.immigration-law.com





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  • chanduv23
    02-13 06:27 PM
    hopefulgc - please dedicate some time and update your first post with more information on lawsuit, you may want to quote lazycis 's posts and other information.

    A lot of people may not be very knowledgable and may backoff when they see the word "lawsuit".

    Those who are saying YES on the poll - it is assumed that you will not backoff - if you have not yet updated your profile on IV - please update your complete profile - this will show that you can be counted on.



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  • BharatPremi
    09-24 11:40 AM
    Please see my inline comment.

    SROYC,

    Can you give me USCIS or any other authentic Doc/link which states ICMP share is 7% of 28.6% ? In years I have not found such doc. Therefore, assuming USCIS works fairly :D I had to divide 28.6% by 5 - equal share for each country within particular category.

    Yes, there are many other factors we will have to factor in like incoming flow of applications, swith over count, spillover at the end of the year.





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  • pitha
    09-25 12:20 PM
    The pending perm applications are the missing piece of information to predict the visa bulletin. Is it possible to get this information from the perm database. I though the perm database was for the approved perm cases. I am sure there is some database (maybe the perm database itself) where we can figure out the pending perm cases. I will search for it, guys please all look into it aswell.

    Can some one who has parsed the PERM database earlier get the count of pending PERM cases as of today (or the lasted available)?



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  • snthampi
    07-30 05:12 PM
    Fake to you because you never had such a chance or courage in life. :D

    But this dude is a hero.

    This gives others a good idea. Instead of saying NO to Amway guys, people will start flirting with both the e-commerce idea and wife. The Amway guy will now have to decide between making money and his wife.

    Well, I never had this type of GOLDEN chances. But, in the future, I will sure keep your advice in mind, when it comes to Amway/Qucikstar folks :D:D:D





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  • gc28262
    08-17 10:45 AM
    IMO all this frisking and questioning at POE is nonsense. If SRK or anybody( including L1/H1/B1) was a security threat or matched a name check query, consulate should have done 2 hours of questioning before issuing the visa.

    Why should a person considered a security threat be issued a visa let alone board the flight to USA ? Isn't he a security threat while he is flying ?

    This is all ineffective/illogical bureaucracy at play.



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  • tikka
    07-03 11:16 PM
    http://digg.com/politics/Rep_Lofgren_Issues_Statement_on_Updated_Visa_Bulle tin

    http://digg.com/politics/U_S_Withdraws_Offer_of_60_000_Job_Based_Visas_Ange ring_Immigration_Lawyer/who





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  • peacocklover
    09-29 04:48 PM
    US Govt should realize the contribution of these high tech talented legal immigrants (gooses of golden eggs (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Goose_that_Laid_the_Golden_Eggs)). I sent to HDTV and also to all of those given contacts ( contacts (http://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=pptN-jEpAiyd3snslhPjBfw))

    Please keep trying to help the govt by sending to all of those contacts and also media channels.

    God should help us and also this country.



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  • ingegarcia
    10-10 08:59 AM
    This is half truth.
    Tn1 to GC is legally possible but once your GC application (I140 and/or I 485) is pending, your TN1 cann't be renewed. If your dates are current, you can apply I 140 and 485 concurently and get EAD, while you hold TN1. Once you get EAD, you don't have to worry about renewal of TN. Here you need to manage possible two risks; You must get EAD before next TN renewal, and by chance, if I 485 deny, you have no back up and must return to Canada.

    Current retrogression, it is not possible to go from TN1 to GC.

    My PERM labor, I 140 approved and I 485 is pending since more than 12 months. I was confident and took calculative risk.

    Thanks for the information. :D





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  • sargon
    04-01 12:05 PM
    Oh oh oh....

    We have a situation here.

    :D


    You Idiot,
    When you keep updating this thread it keeps coming on top.
    I ignored it for a few days and finally clicked to see what the Fuck is going on here.

    Now it seems even moderators are joining this madness.

    If infighting keeps continuing on this forum and you keep discussing non-immigration related topics here, you will never get your green card. FOCUS!

    It is strange that you all want green card so that you live in USA but pretend to be SOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO concerned about Prime Minister of India and then start blaming each other..

    No wonder NumbersUSA etc are succeding..


    Pappu,
    Please remove my profile and user ID from the system. I can't be part of these morons. I shall get my GC when I shall have to get it. I am not here to discuss non-GC related issues. There are many more forums to do that.



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  • NolaIndian32
    09-22 03:55 PM
    Hi Samay,

    I would like to maintain my current H1b status (2nd three-year extension period; I have the approval notice but the visa is not stamped in my passport). I would like to travel to India and return using the Advance Parole document with just my H1b extension approval notice (only first H1b is stamped in the passport).

    1. Can I do this?
    2. Will this change my status from H1b to AOS? When I return from my visit to India, I would like to continue working on my H1b with my current employer. I have not applied for the EAD.

    Please advise.

    Thanks so much!





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  • dvb123
    02-14 07:46 PM
    http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/Why_Sania_wont_be_hounded_in_the_US_for_insulting_ flag/articleshow/2783772.cms

    The Supreme court has the right to strike down laws effecting people



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  • chanduv23
    05-29 03:45 PM
    Folks - here is the thing. lets work towards fixing our issues.

    If people feel USCIS must know about EB1 fraud or other stuff, there are enough people to write to them and if people want to write to USCIS - no one stops them from writing.

    As such, so many people write about different things - people write about eb2 - people write about consulting companies etc... So if you wish to do what you want to do you can do it.

    Remember - when you make a claim that someone is falsfying or breaking law you must present facts and explain properly as to why you think it is not right and why you think you are affected by this.

    Now when you do this - someone can definitely write why they think what YOU are doing is not right and why there are issues with your application.

    IV focuses on advocacy - together we resolve our issues. Things like employer not paying salary, employer benching, cheating etc... are things IV members must collectively deal with andhelp themselves.

    Things like wrongful denials when used AC21, poor customer service etc... are ones IV members can collectively resolve and IV helps

    Things like organizing grassroots efforts, job networking, help networks, lobbying etc... are the kind of things IV stands for.





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  • blacktongue
    01-14 10:11 AM
    He was member 2006 onward. Did nothing. Wasted time.
    Yes i am a meber since 2006 and yes helping others does not just mean be an IV DONOR and volunteer. Helping others can be done is other ways also


    You helped others not helping them do nothing. First help yourself by being EB2. Then try EB1.



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  • GCDream
    07-03 08:40 PM
    Dugg 159

    http://digg.com/politics/No_July_4th_Celebrations_for_Highly_Skilled_Future _Americans/who
    Comment also added





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  • eager_immi
    07-25 10:11 AM
    isn't it my choice. u can go back to india if u like i don't think i will stop u. Also using the same logic india is still ur home country u should go back even if GC works out.

    WHY not go back to India if the GC process fails , I mean after all India is our home country rite .(I am talking only about Indians)

    Health and Wealth are subjective after all





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  • Los Alamos National Lab,



  • looivy
    01-13 11:53 AM
    I think you should start EB3India.org (not affiliated to IV) similar to EB3Chinese.org

    Good Things about IV
    1. IV Core does not conduct its business in the forum. They learnt this lesson a long time ago.
    2. All their work is done in the donor forum and behind the scenes by volunteers
    3. If they feel that any idea is worth pursuing they invite that person (with the idea) behind the scenes and pursue that idea
    4. All the work is done by IV members themselves because they are helping themselves
    5. IV members are investing time and money to do work which impacts a large number of immigrants
    6. That is a professional way to do stuff and i admire the way work is done at IV

    Concerns of IV
    1. IV always states about the lack of will of people to do something for themselves
    2. IV always states that people just comment on forum but do not step forward to do stuff
    3. IV always says that people do not donate enough and without donation a grassroot organization will not survive

    What IV is doing wrong
    1. IV talks about a holistic approach whereby the benefit to EB community will trickle down and once EB2 will become current EB3 will get benefit of spillover
    2. IV is assuming EB2 will become current but with the number of indians coming to USA and number of indian students who will graduate from MS courses in USA over the next 5 years EB2I will always be backlogged
    3. Plus we are not even talking about EB2 ROW and EB3ROW demand which could go up
    4. Supporting the DV 55k bill to US educated GC applicants on the whole looks like a great plan. Sure here are 55k and here are about 150 k GC applicants. 150 - 50 IS 100 K. So if the bill passes we reduce the backlog by 50 k. Now i will am one of the person who will be getting a GC because i am US educated but my opposition to this bill is on principle
    5. What IV has to realise is that it is not only IV members specifically but it is a whole lot of non IV members who are EB3 who have been a bigger person in this whole immigration retorgression advocacy scheme of things till now.

    How let me explain. We have seen EB3 persons from 2002 who are still waiting for GC and who are not getting spill over visas because EB2 is using up all the spill over visas. So do you see any EB3 now complaining about the rule change supported by IV and made by USCIS whereby EB2 gets spill over visas. NO we do not see any EB3 complaining. That is because EB3 as a whole understands that that rule in the past being interpeted in a wrong way and the current way is the correct interpetation. Sure the old method gave EB3 some extra spill over visa benefit but the new interpetation caused EB3 to dry up compleletly. Now that in itself is against the very nature of self preservation by definition, But EB3 went along for the greater good

    What IV can do right
    1. Now we have this 55K DV Bill. This is something different from the spillover (which is law and cannot be changed). This is one time oppurtunity to alieviate the sufferings of EB group as a whole. So can IV which is supposed to be talking for the whole EB community do the right thing here and ensure (with advocacy they are so good at) that IV's stand is that 55K visa are given to all GC applicant from retrogressed countries based on oldest priority date first irrespective of EB2 and EB3.

    2. The concequence of such a move is that long retrogressed EB applicants will get relief (Which is one of the point IV talks about in their charter)
    3. Sure Many US educated applicants from EB2 and EB3 will oppose this move because lets face it, this move impacts their getting GC sooner. And if they behave like that they are in the same category as EB2 guys on this forum who do not entertain any idea which will impact their getting GC soon.

    What wil happen if IV does the above
    1. The DV 55K bill will NEVER pass in congress. This along with the other bills we have seen will bite the dust because no one in the current economic scenario would like to see more immigrants (US educated or not)

    2. The DV 55K bill will fail but IV would have achieved what it has failed to do till now. Get the support of EB3 community which they claim to represent.

    Synopsis
    How how does this work. This is a suggestion for discussion NOT a diktat to IV core to implement. If IV core does not allow discussion on this (and moderate this because frankly some of your existing advocacy group members and volunteers do not know what a discussion is and come out both fists swinging) then that is IV core perogative. they have that right since this is their system and they worked hard for it, and they believe what they say is right.

    One question i do have for all the members who have argued with me here. Have you seen all the discussion i have participated under and my other posts. Please do that before yelling that i was a member since 2006 and freeloader and all that. You need to do this because if i am you enemy (Scounderal, Liad weed, Anti Immgrant, Future USA etc) then don't you think to know your enemy is better.

    On a funny flip side ...............................
    How will this be treated by the current members
    Ohh He is a liar, cheat, sounderrl, absurer, voilent person, free loader, smooch, weed, Anti Immgrant, future USA and other unspeakable things

    By the way guys i am a She not a He

    Adieu/Ciao





    kumar1
    07-13 04:27 PM
    I'm tired and extremely frustrated. Maybe this country does NOT need
    an experience special education teacher nor a registered nurse (my husband), who studied here but cannot work because of unavailability of visa/green card.

    Starting today, I will explore the possibility of moving to Canada. Could anyone direct me on how to start?
    Google "Canada Immigration"... very first link that you get will be very useful.





    poorslumdog
    09-04 01:01 PM
    You moron coming from the slum region or any other place in Bihar.
    You don't know about keralites.
    100% Literacy.
    Living standard is same like Europe. (no other state have the facilities such as health care and standard of living like Kerala).
    It is God's own country.
    Visit and see the details.
    Even the guys working in Gulf countries knows better than you and making much more than you. Go and see their houses.(multi storied), You are still in an appartment.
    Do you ????

    You are _TrueFacts aka poorslumdog aka insider

    Mr.Nair...I would love to be an insider. Please get me the access.:D



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